On the Method of Zadig: Essay #1 from "Science and Hebrew Tradition" — Page 12
The power of prediction, of prospective prophecy, is that which is commonly regarded as the great prerogative of physical science.
预测的能力,即前瞻性预言的能力,通常被视为自然科学的巨大特权。
And truly it is a wonderful fact that one can go into a shop and buy for a small price a book, the "Nautical Almanac," which will foretell the exact position to be occupied by one of Jupiter's moons six months hence; nay, more, that, if it were worth while, the Astronomer-Royal could furnish us with as infallible a prediction applicable to 1980 or 2980.
确实,有一个奇妙的事实:人们可以走进一家商店,以低廉的价格购买一本名为《航海历书》的书,这本书能够预告六个月后木星某颗卫星的精确位置;不仅如此,如果有必要,皇家天文学家甚至能为我们提供同样准确无误的、适用于1980年或2980年的预测。
But astronomy is not less remarkable for its power of retrospective prophecy.
但天文学在回溯性预言方面的能力同样令人瞩目。
Thales, oldest of Greek philosophers, the dates of whose birth and death are uncertain, but who flourished about 600 B.C., is said to have foretold an eclipse of the sun which took place in his time during a battle between the Medes and the Lydians.
泰勒斯是最古老的希腊哲学家,其生卒年月不详,但据说他活跃于公元前600年前后,相传他曾预言了一次日食,该日食发生在他所处的时代,恰逢米底人与吕底亚人之间的一场战役期间。
Sir George Airy has written a very learned and interesting memoir [2] in which he proves that such an eclipse was visible in Lydia on the afternoon of the 28th of May in the year 585 B.C.
乔治·艾里爵士撰写了一篇极具学识且引人入胜的回忆录[2],在文中他证明了这样一次日食确实于公元前585年5月28日下午在吕底亚地区可见。
No one doubts that, on the day and at the hour mentioned by the Astronomer-Royal, the people of Lydia saw the face of the sun totally obscured.
没有人怀疑,在皇家天文学家所提及的那一天那一时刻,吕底亚的人们目睹了太阳被完全遮蔽的景象。
But, though we implicitly believe this retrospective prophecy, it is incapable of verification.
然而,尽管我们对这一回溯性预言深信不疑,它却无法得到验证。
In the total absence of historical records, it is impossible even to conceive any means of ascertaining directly whether the eclipse of Thales happened or not.
在完全缺乏历史记录的情况下,人们甚至无法设想任何直接确认泰勒斯所预言的日食是否真的发生过的方法。
Vocabulary
- 预测
- yùcè — To predict or forecast future events or outcomes
- 的
- de — Structural particle indicating possession or modification
- 能力
- nénglì — Ability, capability, or skill to do something
- 即
- jí — That is, namely; immediately or at once
- 前瞻性
- qiánzhānxìng — Forward-looking quality; ability to anticipate future developments
- 预言
- yùyán — Prophecy or prediction about future events
- 通常
- tōngcháng — Usually, normally, or under ordinary circumstances
- 被
- bèi — Passive marker indicating subject receives an action
- 视为
- shìwéi — To regard as or consider to be something
- 自然科学
- zìrán kēxué — Natural sciences studying the physical and natural world
- 巨大
- jùdà — Huge, enormous, or tremendously large in scale
- 特权
- tèquán — Privilege or special right granted to few people
- 确实
- quèshí — Indeed, truly, or certainly without doubt
- 有
- yǒu — To have or there exists something
- 一个
- yī gè — One; a single item or person
- 奇妙
- qímiào — Wonderful, marvelous, or fascinatingly strange
- 事实
- shìshí — Fact or actual truth about something
- 人们
- rénmen — People in general; ordinary people collectively
- 可以
- kěyǐ — Can, may, or be allowed to do something
- 走进
- zǒujìn — To walk into or enter a place
- 一家
- yī jiā — One establishment such as a shop or restaurant
- 商店
- shāngdiàn — Shop or store selling goods to customers
- 以
- yǐ — With, by means of, or at a certain price
- 低廉
- dīlián — Cheap, inexpensive, or low in price
- 价格
- jiàgé — Price or cost of a good or service
- 购买
- gòumǎi — To purchase or buy goods or services
- 一本
- yī běn — One volume or copy of a book
- 名为
- míngwéi — Named or called by a particular title
- 航海历书
- hánghǎi lìshū — Nautical almanac providing celestial navigation data
- 书
- shū — Book or written publication
- 这本书
- zhè běn shū — This book, referring to a specific publication
- 能够
- nénggòu — To be able to or capable of doing something
- 预告
- yùgào — To announce or forecast in advance
- 六个月
- liù gè yuè — Six months, a period of half a year
- 后
- hòu — After, later, or behind in time or space
- 木星
- Mùxīng — Jupiter, the largest planet in our solar system
- 卫星
- wèixīng — Satellite or moon orbiting a larger celestial body
- 精确
- jīngquè — Precise, exact, or accurate without error
- 位置
- wèizhì — Position, location, or place of something
- 不仅如此
- bùjǐn rúcǐ — Not only that; moreover, there is more
- 如果
- rúguǒ — If, supposing that a condition is met
- 有必要
- yǒu bìyào — If necessary; when there is a need
- 甚至
- shènzhì — Even, so much so, or going as far as
- 能
- néng — Can, able to, or have the ability
- 为
- wèi — For the benefit of or on behalf of
- 我们
- wǒmen — We or us, first person plural pronoun
- 提供
- tígōng — To provide, supply, or offer something to someone
- 同样
- tóngyàng — Same, equally, or in the same manner
- 准确无误
- zhǔnquè wúwù — Completely accurate without any error whatsoever
- 适用于
- shìyòng yú — Applicable to or suitable for a particular case
- 或
- huò — Or, either one option or another
- 但
- dàn — But, however, expressing contrast or exception
- 天文学
- tiānwénxué — Astronomy, the scientific study of celestial objects
- 在
- zài — In, at, on; indicating location or ongoing action
- 回溯性
- huísùxìng — Retrospective quality; ability to examine past events
- 方面
- fāngmiàn — Aspect, dimension, or area of consideration
- 令人瞩目
- lìng rén zhǔmù — Attracting attention; remarkable and noteworthy
- 是
- shì — Is, are, am; linking verb to be
- 最古老
- zuì gǔlǎo — The oldest or most ancient of its kind
- 希腊
- Xīlà — Greece, the European country with ancient civilization
- 哲学家
- zhéxuéjiā — Philosopher, a scholar who studies fundamental questions
- 其
- qí — His, her, its, or their; third person possessive
- 生卒年月
- shēngzú niányuè — Dates of birth and death of a person
- 不详
- bùxiáng — Unknown, unspecified, or not clearly recorded
- 据说
- jùshuō — It is said that; reportedly according to sources
- 他
- tā — He or him, third person masculine pronoun
- 活跃于
- huóyuè yú — Was active or flourished during a certain period
- 公元前
- gōngyuán qián — Before the Common Era; BC in dating system
- 前后
- qiánhòu — Around, approximately, before and after a time
- 相传
- xiāngchuán — It is traditionally said or handed down that
- 曾
- céng — Once, formerly; indicating a past completed experience
- 了
- le — Particle indicating completed action or changed situation
- 一次
- yī cì — Once, one time, a single occurrence of something
- 日食
- rìshí — Solar eclipse when moon blocks the sun
- 该
- gāi — This, that; should or ought to happen
- 发生在
- fāshēng zài — Occurred at or took place during a time
- 所处
- suǒchǔ — The era or environment one is situated in
- 时代
- shídài — Era, age, or historical period of time
- 恰逢
- qiàféng — Happened to coincide with; occurring exactly at same time
- 与
- yǔ — And, with; connecting two nouns or clauses
- 之间
- zhījiān — Between two things, people, or points in time
- 一场
- yī chǎng — One instance of an event such as a battle
- 战役
- zhànyì — Military battle or campaign between opposing forces
- 期间
- qījiān — During a period or interval of time
- 爵士
- juéshì — Sir or knight, a British honorary title
- 撰写
- zhuànxiě — To write or compose a formal piece of writing
- 一篇
- yī piān — One piece of writing such as an essay
- 极具
- jí jù — Extremely possessing or full of a quality
- 学识
- xuéshí — Scholarly knowledge or erudition accumulated through study
- 且
- qiě — And, moreover; also connecting adjectives or clauses
- 引人入胜
- yǐn rén rù shèng — Captivating and fascinating; drawing people deeply in
- 回忆录
- huíyìlù — Memoir or memoir-style record of past events
- 文中
- wén zhōng — Within the text or article being discussed
- 证明
- zhèngmíng — To prove, demonstrate, or verify something is true
- 这样
- zhèyàng — Like this, in this way, such a manner
- 于
- yú — At, in, on; classical preposition indicating time or place
- 5月
- wǔ yuè — May, the fifth month of the year
- 下午
- xiàwǔ — Afternoon, the period after noon until evening
- 地区
- dìqū — Region, area, or district of a territory
- 可见
- kějiàn — Visible or observable; it can be seen that
- 没有人
- méiyǒu rén — No one, nobody, not a single person
- 怀疑
- huáiyí — To doubt or suspect something is untrue
- 所
- suǒ — Structural particle used before verbs in passive constructions
- 提及
- tí jí — To mention or refer to something briefly
- 那一天
- nà yī tiān — That particular day being referred to
- 那一时刻
- nà yī shíkè — That particular moment or instant in time
- 目睹
- mùdǔ — To witness or see something with one's own eyes
- 太阳
- tàiyáng — The sun, the star at center of solar system
- 完全
- wánquán — Completely, entirely, or totally without exception
- 遮蔽
- zhēbì — To cover, obscure, or block from view
- 景象
- jǐngxiàng — Scene, sight, or spectacle visible to observers
- 然而
- rán'ér — However, nevertheless; expressing contrast with previous statement
- 尽管
- jǐnguǎn — Although, even though, despite a certain situation
- 对
- duì — Toward, regarding; correct or right about something
- 这一
- zhè yī — This particular thing or point being discussed
- 深信不疑
- shēn xìn bù yí — Firmly believing without any doubt whatsoever
- 它
- tā — It, third person singular pronoun for objects
- 却
- què — Yet, but, however; expressing unexpected contrast
- 无法
- wúfǎ — Unable to, impossible to, have no way to
- 得到
- dédào — To obtain, receive, or get something desired
- 验证
- yànzhèng — To verify, confirm, or validate through evidence
- 缺乏
- quēfá — To lack or be deficient in something needed
- 历史记录
- lìshǐ jìlù — Historical records or documented accounts of past events
- 情况下
- qíngkuàng xià — Under certain circumstances or given conditions
- 设想
- shèxiǎng — To imagine, conceive of, or hypothesize about something
- 任何
- rènhé — Any, whatever; no restriction on which one
- 直接
- zhíjiē — Direct, directly, without intermediary or indirection
- 确认
- quèrèn — To confirm, verify, or formally acknowledge something
- 是否
- shìfǒu — Whether or not something is the case
- 真的
- zhēn de — Really, truly, actually happening in reality
- 发生过
- fāshēng guò — Has occurred or happened at some past time
- 方法
- fāngfǎ — Method, approach, or way of doing something
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